Blockchain disruptors set sights on Africa
Unveiled in a flurry of publicity and goodwill in 2003,
the Kimberley Process was designed to bring an end to the excesses of
the bloodstained trade, bringing key actors together to hammer out an international certification process for the rare stones.
With NGOs
and over 80 countries signed up, the high-profile venture appeared to
offer a fresh start for the shamed industry, promising “to ensure that
diamond purchases were not financing violence by rebel movements and
their allies seeking to undermine legitimate governments.”
Just 15 years later, that optimism has disappeared.
In December, Canadian NGO Impact – previously nominated for a Nobel
Peace Prize for its work on conflict diamonds – became the
latest international observer to abandon the Kimberley Process, arguing
that buyers had been given “false confidence” that their diamonds were
conflict free.
While observers appear to have lost all confidence that
the industry will clean up its act, a revolutionary new technology could
offer a path forward. In January, De Beers,
the multinational diamond producer substantially active in Southern
Africa, announced that it was developing the industry’s first block chain
initiative spanning the diamond value chain, offering “a single,
tamper-proof and permanent digital record for every diamond registered
on the platform.”
A pilot project is working towards the ultimate goal
of “ensuring that all registered diamonds are conflict-free and natural”
while boosting sector efficiencies.
For the uninitiated, the idea of using blockchain –
a digital technology best known as the basis
for volatile cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin – to bolster confidence and
security in the diamond market appears bizarre.
Yet despite
its association with wild speculation and the rollercoaster price
movements of cryptocurrencies, the technology is increasingly talked
up as a transparent solution to African governance and
economic problems, from crooked elections to faulty land registers and
inefficient transaction systems.
Defined by Marco Iansiti and Karim Lakhani in the Harvard Business Review as “an open, distributed ledger that can
record transactions between two parties efficiently and in a verifiable
and permanent way,” blockchain allows contracts to be embedded in code
and “stored in transparent, shared databases, where they are protected
from deletion, tampering, and revision.”
For African governments and businesses struggling under
the weight of outdated administration
techniques, overbearing bureaucracies, and competing asset ownership
claims, the attractions of blockchain are obvious.
“The question is how could you boost the level of trust in
developing countries, how do you arrest that cycle? One way is by
having a blockchain type system which basically takes away the need to
enforce trust because the system forces it upon you,” says Garrick
Hileman, a blockchain expert who teaches at the University of Cambridge.
“In our global blockchain benchmarking study we found over 130 unique
use cases for the technology ranging across a wide variety
of industrial sectors, healthcare, insurance, gaming, media, energy,
transportation and communications.”
Despite the excitement, few are under any illusions about
the challenges of rolling out complex technology underpinned by citizen
networks across frontier markets. As with all trans formative technologies in Africa, technical, political and
regulatory hurdles remain steep.
“Right now it’s very new and the potential is
enormous.
However you’re still dealing with a nascent technological and
regulatory framework, and a very nascent asset class with
cryptocurrencies,” says Farzam Ehsani, blockchain lead at Rand Merchant
Bank and chairman of the South African Financial Blockchain
Consortium. “Given this infancy we should expect to see a lot of changes
and a lot of resistance. We live in a world where there are many vested
interests. There will be people with a lot to gain and a lot to lose.”
Building blocks of success
While much African blockchain activity remains at a highly
speculative stage – the talk of academic researchers, thinktanks
and dreamers with little more than a laptop and an internet connection –
early movers are already getting to grips with the new
technology and carving out innovative enterprises.
Based in Nairobi and
with a presence in several other African countries, BitPesa bills itself
as an “online payment platform that leverages Blockchain settlement to
significantly lower the cost and increase the speed of business payments
to, from and within sub-Saharan Africa.”
With its multinational cast of tech-savvy employees and quirky, minimalist website, BitPesa seems
the archetype of a trendy tech startup. But for founder and
chief executive Elizabeth Rossiello, blockchain technology offers a
serious chance to overhaul the African payments sector – a
market originally known for its innovation and startup mentality that
has coalesced around a tiny number of dominant players.
“The whole country [Kenya] uses M-Pesa, which
is great and helps financial inclusion in so many ways, but on the
other hand when you want to innovate you have to ask the
company’s permission and when you want to do something new it becomes
harder and harder because there’s a bottleneck,” says Rossiello.
“Using
Bitcoin blockchain technology was cheap, robust, fast and there was a
great community. I could lock into that and use it as a processing
system and transaction database with very little startup capital and I
had more transparency than most companies using mobile money. All my
customers could see their transactions. It was scalable and
interoperable with every country around the world using the same
technology.”
Indeed, the relative lack of financial sophistication in
sub-Saharan Africa means that the region could act as a launchpad for
the adoption of financial blockchain technology. In a region where
hundreds of millions remain unbanked, citizens are crying out for new
ways to settle transactions in secure, transparent, efficient and
cost-effective ways.
Supporters say blockchain technology is more reliable and
resilient than other transaction technologies – the underlying
technology of bitcoin has yet to fail despite billions of transactions
over nine years says Hileman – while the security of networks is
another defining feature.
Furthermore, it can remove many of
the unnecessary functions of financial intermediaries, allowing for a
transparent peer-to-peer system that benefits consumers.
“The implications for Africa and emerging markets are just
as profound as they are for developed markets,” says Ehsani. “In
some cases people have argued that we will see a lot more innovation
from smaller countries and smaller markets that are not as developed
because they don’t have as much to lose as current systems which are
highly entrenched.”
Yet if the opportunities may be larger in the developed
world, the barriers to success are larger still. Low internet
penetration rates affect the quality and speed of African networks,
although decentralised networks are largely within the technical reach
of many African countries. Both governments and private citizens have
concerns about the privacy of their data.
Regulation around blockchain
financial technology remains basic across the continent, with many
countries lacking expertise in rapidly evolving technologies that are
only hinting at their full potential.
Elsewhere, vested interests lobby against the introduction
of tools that will prove detrimental
to their monopolies. Rossiello argues that BitPesa has had a mixed
regulatory experience across Africa.
“In Nigeria we’ve been working with the regulator for
two years, we’ve developed draft regulations and the regulator is so
much more active,” she says. “So many departments have detailed
questions, want to see briefs and hold meetings and forums. It’s amazing
to be a part of that process and it flouts all the rumours and
stereotypes of what it is to work in financial regulation here.
“In contrast, in Kenya we don’t get meetings, they refuse
to read our memos, they write one sentence responses back to us and
publish circulars without asking for public opinion. This
secretive culture is hurting people and making it harder and harder to
do business.” The response of Africa’s regulatory authorities to
blockchain technologies could provide a test case for the rolling out of
blockchain in other areas of government and corporate life.
“I think it will help if regulatory and policymakers were
supportive. They can certainly block or slow dramatically
the adoption of decentralised technologies like blockchain, but I think
it’s going to put many of these countries at a disadvantage if they
fight the trend too hard – it would set countries back
in terms of advancing their position as an innovation hub and their
ability to drive growth and investment,” says Hileman.
“There will be certain jurisdictions where they view this
new technology and corresponding cryptoassets as a big threat and they
may start banning them. This is such a powerful technology that attempts
to quash or tame it will have difficulty succeeding,” says Ehsani.
Voting for change
While new ways of executing financial transactions already
begin to chip away at the influence of incumbents, future uses of
blockchain technology could offer a far more idealistic and potent
challenge to the existing political and economic order in Africa. In Kenya’s
2017 elections, a flawed electronic voting system and the disputed role
of the country’s Independent Electoral and Boundaries Commission led to
a dramatic Supreme Court annulment of the vote and the order of a
rerun.
Under a blockchain electoral voting system, voters
could theoretically check that their ballot had been correctly cast and
registered with the IEBC. Could such open-sourced,
peer-reviewed technology threaten the long-established pattern of
fraudulent elections on the continent?
“Imagine a world where you the voter with a unique
alphanumeric ID could actually go check a public electoral ledger to see
your vote in the column of the candidate you voted for,” says
Hileman,
“The authentic elections that could come out of such a process
could have a massive knock-on effect. How countries would
feel about having that decentralized system is a fair question but the
infrastructure already exists to run such an election.
The challenge is obviously that corrupt regimes in power aren’t
necessarily going to want to embrace these technologies.”
Indeed, one of the paradoxes of block chain technology is that they may require some support from
established governments – potentially those with the most to
lose – in order to reach their full potential. The expansion
of block chain cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin, which implicitly threaten a
government’s control over its own monetary system, have already
provoked a backlash among concerned policymakers.
“Cryptocurrency shows us there are many
benefits to having a global currency but monetary union without
political or fiscal union is very difficult to manage as we’re seeing
with the euro right now,” says Ehsani. “I believe it will be quite a
long time before we get to full potential in mainstream life, in deeds
offices, government systems, identities, money etc, not due to a lack of
technological progress – but because of vested interests in a
traditional system.”
For now, blockchain enthusiasts may have
to acknowledge that a technology that remains hostage to privacy and
corruption concerns will have to proceed with the goodwill of
many parties and prove its worth in ways mutually acceptable to
governments, citizens and innovators.
“To get to the point where blockchains
are enforcing payment of taxes through smart contracts
and automatically deducting them from income – there’s a lot of steps to
that. You would need to move to a blockchain-based monetary system and
many central banks are reluctant to do that for a variety of reasons.
But there may be simpler things like moving property titles on to a
blockchain or doing electoral voting in some limited way in a local
community or city-based blockchain system. It’s a real sea change to go
from a hierarchical approach to giving up control and embracing
more decentralised information,” says Hileman.
While utopian thought and a libertarian
yearning to be free of the shackles of existing power structures sit at
the heart of the blockchain dream in Africa, programmers may have to set their sights a bit lower for now.
“One of the underlying questions and the
hype around this technology is that people think it’s a panacea for
problems in society,” says Ehsani. “This is a tool that can be used for
great social progress but can also exacerbate social ills like
inequality. Just because there’s a blockchain doesn’t mean it’s now
going to solve global poverty.”
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